Recently, data analyst David Shor posted a series of social media posts show how and why Democrats lost elections, both in last year’s election and before. And the news is all bad for the Democrat Party.
For instance, in one post, Shor pointed out that Democrat-linked rioting always hurts Democrats in near term elections. He pointed out that in 1968, after the hippy riots that has coursed through America, the destruction and unrest was enough to send Richard Nixon into the White House.
Post-MLK-assasination race riots reduced Democratic vote share in surrounding counties by 2%, which was enough to tip the 1968 election to Nixon. Non-violent protests *increase* Dem vote, mainly by encouraging warm elite discourse and media coverage. https://t.co/S8VZSuaz3G. pic.twitter.com/VRUwnRFuVW
— David Shor (@davidshor) May 28, 2020
But he also pointed out that trends against the Democrats have been going on since 2016, and it wasn’t merely a sudden groundswell for Trump.
Shore told lefty Ezra Klein that in 2016, Democrats held 81 percent of the Hispanic vote. But by 2024, that number had fallen to 58 percent. And the numbers for blacks also fell.
And it is all because the Democrats have veered off the cliff of leftism:
Democrats are winning 85 percent of Black conservatives in 2016 but only 77 percent in 2024. They were winning 34 percent of conservative Hispanics in 2016, but that falls by half, to 17 percent, in 2024. They were winning 28 percent of conservative Asians in 2016 — which falls to 20 percent in 2024.
It’s always a little bit weird for somebody who is a self-described conservative to vote for Democrats, who are quite a liberal party now. But what we’re seeing among nonwhite voters is people voting more by ideology and less by their ethnic group.
That’s exactly right. I would just say this shouldn’t be all that surprising. I think, now, we identify the Democratic Party as straightforwardly liberal. But the Democratic Party used to be a coalition between liberals, moderates and conservatives. And as liberals became the dominant coalition partner, it makes sense that the conservatives and moderates in the coalition — who were disproportionately nonwhite, given that this ideological polarization happened among whites 20 or 30 years ago — would start to shift.
Shor added that as the Democrat Party has zoomed to the far, far left, the nation as a while has gotten a bit more conservative. And young people in particular are beginning to reject leftism. And it was the youth vote that helped push past Trump.
Shor said that white men over 75 supported Harris at a much higher rate than those under 20.
“It is a real shift. This is the thing I am the most shocked by in the last four years — that young people have gone from being the most progressive generation since the baby boomers, and maybe even in some ways more so, to becoming potentially the most conservative generation that we’ve experienced maybe in 50 to 60 years,” he said.
The Democrats are sabotaging themselves by continuing to careen to the far left even as the new age of voters are going the other way, and their current base of older voters is dying off.
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