Charlie Cook, is the acclaimed political analyst/publisher of The Cook Political Report newsletter, which publishes analysis of the primaries and general elections for federal political offices and state governorships. The Report’s predictions are accorded high credibility among journalists and politicians.
Cook released a rare Sunday update today, moving the Massachusetts senate race from a “toss-up” to slightly favoring Scott Brown.
Massachusetts Special Election Update January 17, 2010
Massachusetts Special Election Update This past Thursday, January 14, The Cook Political Report moved the open Massachusetts Senate seat rating from Lean Democrat to Toss Up, having moved it from Solid Democrat to Lean Democratic on January 7. We continue to see this race as very much of a Toss Up, with Republican state Sen. Scott Brown holding onto a very narrow, single-digit lead over Democratic state Attorney General Martha Coakley.
Given the vagaries of voter turnout, particularly in lower participation level special elections, this race could still go either way, but we put a finger on the scale for Brown. Last minute Democratic attacks on Brown have driven his negatives up some and slightly diminished the incredible intensity of support that Brown enjoyed, but it looks more likely than not to hold.
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